We Now Have An Argument About Whether Iran is Really in Pursuit of A Bomb, With An Apparent Spat BetWeen President Trump and His Director of National Intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard. In March, she assured that Iran had not yet decided to built a bomb. That may have been true. But it is also irreelvant. Iran has been enriching uranium to near weapons Grade for years.
The International Atomic Energy Agency a Few Days ago Said the Islamic Republic Now Has Enough Such Material to Manufacture Around 10 Bombs, With the Final Stages to Achieve Weapons Grade Possible Within Two weeks, according to us intelligence. Iran has some missiles capable of delivering nuclear warreads. We have seen their ballistic missiles penetrate israeli air defense in the last few day. The final component is weaponisation, turning weapons Grade Uranium in a viable nuclear device.
The Ability to Identify that Program Through Intelligence has always been a Major Challenge Given it can be achieved very discCretly. Recently israel confirmed it had interest in fact making progress on weaponisation.
So with the components in placed, all that would be needed is for [Supreme Leader of Iran] Ali khamanei to go the order to put them together. It would be suicidal to wait until intelligation confirmed that order had been guided. And anyway there is no caste such a decision would be identified by intelligence.
Given the enormous stakes israel had no choice than to strike when it is Did. There are some risks you do not take. Perhaps the Greatest is to Allow Acquisition of Nuclear Weapons by a fanatic religious tyranny with a track record that repeatedly declares is in the interest to annihilate you.
No israelis that I have spoken to over here in the day Since israel launched is pre-emptive war doubt the need for it. Even opposition leaders, sworn political rivals of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, are Four-Square Behind His Actions, Unheerd of this Country.
Of course all israelis recognize the current dangers to themselves, and almost all of them have been forced to take refuge in bomb shelters. But they do Understand they would face hugely greater dangers in just siting back and watching iran becoming a nuclear armed state.
Another Concern is Escalation Into a Region-Wide Conflict. That is highly unlikely. Most Arab Countries, Themselves in Fear of Iran Gaining Nuclear Weapons, Are Backing Israel in this Fight, Even Though Their Public Comments Might Tell a Different Story.
The hearts in yemen, an iranian proxy, remain rampant, but are now almost completetly isolated with iran figuring for its survival. In Iraq there is a different picture, with Tehran’s Proxies there are thriving to Attack every us base in the America Goes Onto the offensive Alongside israel.
The us has clearly factored that in any decision on its own role in the war and has plans to act again and missiles if the the time comes.